According to a research report published today by Michael Pachter and Edward Woo of Wedbush Morgan Securities, GameStop expects to receive stock of approximately 750 thousand Nintendo Revolution consoles and 1 to 1.2 million Sony PlayStation 3 consoles when those consoles go on sale in November.
If those expectations are accurate, and if GameStop's shipments are proportionate to shipments to other American retailers, and if both consoles manage to sell out of their November and December stock completely (not unlikely, given the history of console launches), then that means that the PS3 will outsell the Nintendo Revolution by 33% to 60% by the end of 2006.
There are many
variables that will likely alter the ultimate outcome of the contest between Sony, Nintendo and Microsoft. Either
Nintendo or Sony (or both) could stumble in getting supply to stores, in which case the number of consoles put on store
shelves will fall short of these estimates. Whatever the eventual outcome, it's nice to finally get a sense of retailer
expectations for the November battle between the PS3 and the Nintendo Revolution.
