Four analysts at Goldman-Sachs have predicted that
Bungie's Halo 3 will rake in over $170 million in revenue for the quarter. The analysts also assert that the game will put the Xbox division in the black for its first quarter ever with just the first week of sales.
Other notes by the analysts:
- The figure is based on estimates that 4.2 million copies shipped in the quarter and an installed user base of 13.2 million by September. That would mean Halo 3 would be purchased by nearly one-third of Xbox 360 owners.
- It is assumed that Microsoft keeps 80 percent of the retail price on first-party titles.
- Halo 2 sold 7.5 million in its first quarter of release, with 2.38 million on the first day. That amounts to 38 percent of the user base.
Recently Robbie Bach,
president of Microsoft's Entertainment & Devices Division, stated that he expects the Xbox to be profitable next year. We have very little doubt that Master Chief can pull the Xbox brand out of the red for at least the first quarter or two, but can Microsoft fill the void with other titles and services once the momentum slows down?
[Via
Xbox 360 Fanboy]
(Page 1) Reader Comments
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http://gamergeddon.com/
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MSFT
PUMP AND DUMP BABY!!!
ENRON STYLE!
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Hypocritical buncha...
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When this game releases, I am seriously gona be Microsoft's bitch.
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No one's forcing you to buy the $130 Legendary Edition. If you think it's too much, buy the more reasonably priced collector's edition. Since I really could give a shit about a Spartan Helmet or special features, I'll be sticking with the standard edition myself.
-Jeff
http://alinktothefuture.com
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I'd offer a theory on how the Wii and PS3 will not have this problem, but that'd just start a flame war, because everyone on here seems to only ever pick one system to support and abandons all logic when it comes to other ones. Ain't the Internets fun?
See you all on Xbox Live on 9/25.
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Mass Effect
BioShock
Splinter Cell Conviction
GTA 4
Devil May Cry
Command And Conquer 3
Too Human
Fable 2
Half Life 2 - Orange
Blue Dragon
Just to name a few titles that are coming or are already out that is plenty to keep folks busy and satisfied. And who knows what else will be announced for 08 at this years E3.
To disagree with your point the Wii and PS3 have the opposite going for them. The Wii is releasing the Holy Trinity this winter...but then what??? Same old same old...just like the GameCube.
The PS3 won't even have Metal Gear till at least midway through 2008! Besides Grand Theft Auto...the PS3 is severly lacking in any Titles to set it apart.
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It may break US and possibly UK sales records for a individual game. note: 'possibly'
But world-wide it aint got a freaking cat in hell's chance, if it aint big in japan ya screwed.
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I'm predicting that Halo 3 will sell 4 million copies its first day of release and will reach 9 million in its first quarter.
That means a whole hell of a lot of money coming MS and Bungie's way.
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But i thought for a second that they meant it would make the whole division and its history profitable
Profitable for 4th Quarter 2007?
I'd say so, with all the software sales and all the new Live Gold subscriptions that will come with it
I'm pretty sure they're still selling at a loss, but i also think its a minimal loss
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Granted GTA 4 is on both the X360 and PS3, but as far as moving consoles, if someone is buying a console just for GTA 4 I would imagine they would buy the 200 dollars cheaper 360 over the PS3, so in that sense it will indeed move consoles.
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Why would you say Halo 3 "has nothing novel about it" when no one outside of Microsoft has seen the single player game for any more than 15 seconds?
And I hate to break it to you, but sequels often sell more than original titles... why do you think the industry is flooded with them?
People usualy go with a brand they recognize over an unknown...
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Obviously, I have no issue with the price of the legendary since I'm buying it.
I just hope it makes them some money to pay their programmers and not to fund all the "extras" including that helmet.
Calm down on the internet defense backlash. It's not good for your blood pressure.
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I think that all the XBox/FPS fans already got a 360 so they could have Gears of War and Lost Planet to tide them over until Halo 3 comes out. So I think it will sell an assload, but I don't think it will move too many consoles that it hasn't already.
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I'm happy with my 360, but we need more original titles, more original franchises. It's almost as if this system puts out a blockbuster once a year only, leaving the time in between kind of boring.
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I think it will make 170 million in the quarter easily. but I don't think it will sell 4.3 million copies in 1 quarter. Unless every one of the people who owns xbox live buys a Halo 3.
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Not likely goin to happen, this game will be amazing. Im one of the rare few thats getting this game soly for the single player experiance. I live in a remote North Western Ontario community with no high speed connection :( But I do have black bears on my deck from time to time. Yikes!
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Or are downloads providing a much better revenue stream?
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The face goes on the OTHER side of the dollar.
Just so we're clear. :)
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