Pachter: GTA IV is not a Take-Two panacea
Take-Two might be seeing improved financials, but Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter is tapping the brakes if the company thinks Grand Theft Auto IV is going to drive profits and be a "panacea" for all its ills. Giving GameDaily some fancy financial math, Pachter lays out that Take-Two management is operating in a fantasy world if they think their profit forecasts are credible. Pachter goes on to say that Take-Two still receives a "Sell" rating and questions if management is even capable of turning the company around.
He then plunges the dagger deep into Take-Two management not only over fiscal issues, but basic management. He believes they are sincerely trying to turn the company around, which continues to operate at a loss, but that they have "not managed a business like this one in an environment like this." He doesn't understand why there weren't staff reductions after the "abysmal performance" of All-Pro Football -- especially with EA having the NFL in its pocket. Pachter believes investor confidence in Take-Two is unfounded and reminds the company had a cumulative operating loss of $450 million between Feb. '05 and Jan. '08. He concludes that investors and management have "overconfidence in the performance of GTA IV."
He then plunges the dagger deep into Take-Two management not only over fiscal issues, but basic management. He believes they are sincerely trying to turn the company around, which continues to operate at a loss, but that they have "not managed a business like this one in an environment like this." He doesn't understand why there weren't staff reductions after the "abysmal performance" of All-Pro Football -- especially with EA having the NFL in its pocket. Pachter believes investor confidence in Take-Two is unfounded and reminds the company had a cumulative operating loss of $450 million between Feb. '05 and Jan. '08. He concludes that investors and management have "overconfidence in the performance of GTA IV."





















(Page 1) Reader Comments
Reply
Uncanny.
Reply
http://www.qwantz.com/archive/000531.html
Maybe if he'd ever been right before he wouldn't get that reaction.
Reply
Although im sure hes a very clever (yet naive) person. he mayby should have attended his first business studies class where they teach you that companies do not run at a loss for the fun of it if theres no sign of great profit comming up.
Especially compnaies which have been making one of the best know gaming franchises for the past 10 years (is it)
Reply
Check the batteries in your sarcasm detector.
Reply
Although they've pretty much already made $50 million on the game, for the 360 exclusivity
slow news day, except for the Duke Nukem Forever trailer (a neat blast from the past)
Reply
Reply
I think he may be partially right for once. GTA isn't the only game in town anymore.
I was just talking to my brother today and told him I had recently started playing Saint's Row again, and he said "No shit? Me too"
Turns out neither of us are getting GTA4, but we are both pretty excited about SR2.
I think with the option to play a character you can actually customize, rather than Cliche Movie joke #5 is far more compelling.
Reply
I was at that mural 2 weeks ago! It's in New York City, on the corner of Canal Street and Greene Street, if anyone cares.
Reply