Wii Warm Up: How many delays?

Looks like GameStop (where they never met a preorder they didn't like) has begun taking orders for Mario Kart Wii and claims that, right now, it's looking like April for the game. But that's not really what we wanted to talk about; it just got us thinking about something else, a real question. How many times do you think Mario Kart will be delayed?

Yeah, we're being a little cheeky here. We love you, Nintendo, but let's face it -- you guys sometimes delay games. And it's cool. We want them to be nice and polished and pretty. But that doesn't mean we won't slyly lay some side bets on how many delays we'll suffer. So come on, throw out some numbers. Twice? Three times?