Gaming industry analyst Michael Pachter has updated his predictions about the console price cuts he anticipates will occur this year. A Wedbush Securities update distributed this morning said, "We expect Microsoft to announce a price cut at this year's E3 Expo in June, and expect Sony and Nintendo to rapidly follow suit." Until then, Pachter expects that consoles sales will steadily decline, with the 3DS providing enough juice to bring things back into the positives in April.
The report predicts that Microsoft will likely capitalize on the success of Kinect by dropping the price of its core Xbox 360 bundle to "under $300," adding "we are confident that by holiday 2011, all three consoles will be at least $50 cheaper than they are today." Why, with that kind of money, we could almost buy a new fuel cell for our spaceyacht's hyperdrive!
Oh, right -- the report also predicts the invention of spaceyachts. We meant to mention that earlier.
Reader Comments (105)
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:04PM Prboi said
These are the only times I actually like Patcher. Usually when he mentions something, companies do take it into consideration
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:17PM sserschens said
@Prboi
really? i didn't think anyone really listened to him. Anyway, how is this news, joystiq? you do so well, but i don't care about some guy's prediction especially when he is usually wrong or predicts something that a 9 year old could.
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really? i didn't think anyone really listened to him. Anyway, how is this news, joystiq? you do so well, but i don't care about some guy's prediction especially when he is usually wrong or predicts something that a 9 year old could.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:22PM The Harbinger of Pie said
@sserschens
Yeah...everyone hates him.
No one cares what he says, and when he "predicts" something right, it is because, as you said, it is so plainly obvious.
"Pachter predicts new Call of Duty game will sell more than indie game no one has ever heard of."
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Yeah...everyone hates him.
No one cares what he says, and when he "predicts" something right, it is because, as you said, it is so plainly obvious.
"Pachter predicts new Call of Duty game will sell more than indie game no one has ever heard of."
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:25PM Prboi said
@sserschens
Well if he mentions something that nobody thought of, then it could come true. Patcher predicted that COD would have a subscription plan & now look at Project beachhead Kotick announced. Even though it's not set in stone, we all know how he is.
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Well if he mentions something that nobody thought of, then it could come true. Patcher predicted that COD would have a subscription plan & now look at Project beachhead Kotick announced. Even though it's not set in stone, we all know how he is.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:40PM Prboi said
@Vman
I know he always states the obvious but there are times where he does say things that people listen to. He did predict the project 10 dollar that companies are looking into. If he hadn't said that, it probably would have been a ways off from happening
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I know he always states the obvious but there are times where he does say things that people listen to. He did predict the project 10 dollar that companies are looking into. If he hadn't said that, it probably would have been a ways off from happening
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:19PM Drakkenfyre said
This is the first thing I have heard from him in awhile.
When he was making his last prediction, and he was wrong, he pitched a fit, and insulted the company for it.
I think we should just ignore the asshole. He's wrong 99.9% of the time, and when he's right, it's something that's already happened or is so damn obvious anyone could have guessed it. "Nintendo will make millions", no shit?
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When he was making his last prediction, and he was wrong, he pitched a fit, and insulted the company for it.
I think we should just ignore the asshole. He's wrong 99.9% of the time, and when he's right, it's something that's already happened or is so damn obvious anyone could have guessed it. "Nintendo will make millions", no shit?
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:28PM mywhitenoise said
@Prboi
Like it's so hard to predict a price cut is coming. PS3 has been bundled with $50 and $100 gift cards since November. It currently comes with a $50 gift card in many stores, and also bundled with a $60 new release game.
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Like it's so hard to predict a price cut is coming. PS3 has been bundled with $50 and $100 gift cards since November. It currently comes with a $50 gift card in many stores, and also bundled with a $60 new release game.
Posted: Mar 8th 2011 1:56AM PhilipJWitow said
@eNriqeu.
I still don't get the hate about Michael Pachter.
You do realize his full-time profession is predicting what companies will do right? You do realize he's obviously VERY good at what he does and gets paid thousands of dollars to do this right?
You do realize that he is going to be a MUCH better analyst then you are right now, and no, he doesn't state the obvious, it's just that news media tends to pick out the easy stuff because it's the easiest to interpret.
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I still don't get the hate about Michael Pachter.
You do realize his full-time profession is predicting what companies will do right? You do realize he's obviously VERY good at what he does and gets paid thousands of dollars to do this right?
You do realize that he is going to be a MUCH better analyst then you are right now, and no, he doesn't state the obvious, it's just that news media tends to pick out the easy stuff because it's the easiest to interpret.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:07PM Manifest37 said
Everyone wins.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:09PM MGTrey said
Good.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:11PM Pure Black World Tendency said
Well I've certainly felt tempted to buy a 360 at times. It's more an issue of having enough time to play those games than an issue of price however.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:24PM eat it said
@Pure Black World Tendency
same here. I want to play gears 2, gears 3, alan wake, and limbo like nobody's business but man I already play enough games. Maybe when the next generation of consoles comes out I might just get a 360 and play those games for a year and half or so. while the new systems get their kinks ironed out.
Reply
same here. I want to play gears 2, gears 3, alan wake, and limbo like nobody's business but man I already play enough games. Maybe when the next generation of consoles comes out I might just get a 360 and play those games for a year and half or so. while the new systems get their kinks ironed out.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:55PM Pure Black World Tendency said
@eat it
Add Deadly Premonition, Super Meat Boy, Trials HD, Shadow Complex and Lost Odyssey to those titles you mentioned and you have my list.
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Add Deadly Premonition, Super Meat Boy, Trials HD, Shadow Complex and Lost Odyssey to those titles you mentioned and you have my list.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:14PM maveric101 said
@Pure Black World Tendency
i feel the same way about getting a PS3. i wouldn't mind spending the money, but as it is, it would kinda be a waste since i would hardly have time to use it. i don't even get to play all the stuff i want for 360.
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i feel the same way about getting a PS3. i wouldn't mind spending the money, but as it is, it would kinda be a waste since i would hardly have time to use it. i don't even get to play all the stuff i want for 360.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:50PM eat it said
@maveric101
We're crossing that line where there are just too many games to play. It's like movies, no one can watch every movie that comes out. imagine 25 years from now there will probably like 30 or 40 ridiculously awesome games a year, we'll all end up ignoring tons of great games
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We're crossing that line where there are just too many games to play. It's like movies, no one can watch every movie that comes out. imagine 25 years from now there will probably like 30 or 40 ridiculously awesome games a year, we'll all end up ignoring tons of great games
Posted: Mar 8th 2011 12:44AM Jack Kevorkian said
@Pure Black World Tendency Deadly Preminition is worth the price of admission. Best exclusive I've played in a long time. There isnt a weirder game this gen.
Reply
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:11PM Ezio Auditore da Firenze said
Hmm.
A Wii for $149, you say? That's mighty tempting!
A Wii for $149, you say? That's mighty tempting!
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:23PM AngryTurds said
@Ezio Auditore da Firenze
Coming from the hypocrite that probably bought the PS3 at launch. Wii is a steal at $200 as well. Based on first party titles alone, it has a few of the best games this generation.
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Coming from the hypocrite that probably bought the PS3 at launch. Wii is a steal at $200 as well. Based on first party titles alone, it has a few of the best games this generation.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:32PM Ezio Auditore da Firenze said
@jblank
Well, I don't know about that, but I'd at least like to play through Galaxy 1 and 2, both Zelda games, and DKCR. :)
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Well, I don't know about that, but I'd at least like to play through Galaxy 1 and 2, both Zelda games, and DKCR. :)
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:33PM Prboi said
@jblank
You because you don't think there are games on there that are good, doesn't make you right. Epic Mickey, Super Mario Galaxy 2, New Super Mario Brothers Wii, Donkey Kong Country Returns, Super Smash Bros. Brawl, Kirby's Epic Yarn, Legend Of Zelda: Twilight Princess, Mario Sports Mix, Tatsunoko vs Capcom, No More Heroes & many many more only on the Wii. Don't say the Wii has no good games because of you don't have good taste in games.
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You because you don't think there are games on there that are good, doesn't make you right. Epic Mickey, Super Mario Galaxy 2, New Super Mario Brothers Wii, Donkey Kong Country Returns, Super Smash Bros. Brawl, Kirby's Epic Yarn, Legend Of Zelda: Twilight Princess, Mario Sports Mix, Tatsunoko vs Capcom, No More Heroes & many many more only on the Wii. Don't say the Wii has no good games because of you don't have good taste in games.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:34PM sonicspike41 said
@AngryTurds
How is he a hypocrite if he buy's one early at a high price and another later at a low price?
Some people just have these things called "opinions". It doesn't make them a fanboy or a hypocrite. Maybe he had more money then, maybe he is getting this as his 3rd console, maybe he just isn't into Nintendo games as much as other people are, or maybe he's getting it as a gift. There's a million logical reasons why he would jump at this now.
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How is he a hypocrite if he buy's one early at a high price and another later at a low price?
Some people just have these things called "opinions". It doesn't make them a fanboy or a hypocrite. Maybe he had more money then, maybe he is getting this as his 3rd console, maybe he just isn't into Nintendo games as much as other people are, or maybe he's getting it as a gift. There's a million logical reasons why he would jump at this now.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:37PM neonlights326 said
@Ezio Auditore da Firenze
AngryTurds - Steal at $200
jblank - $99 at best
($200+$99)/2=$149.5~$149
Based on the comments, $149 sounds good.
Reply
AngryTurds - Steal at $200
jblank - $99 at best
($200+$99)/2=$149.5~$149
Based on the comments, $149 sounds good.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:40PM Ezio Auditore da Firenze said
@AngryTurds
Why yes, I 'did' buy a PS3 at launch.
But here's a fun 'Ezio' fact for you:
I didn't like it. I sold it two weeks later and bought a 360, which I happily owned for a couple years until I bought another PS3 that I fell in love with. :)
Reply
Why yes, I 'did' buy a PS3 at launch.
But here's a fun 'Ezio' fact for you:
I didn't like it. I sold it two weeks later and bought a 360, which I happily owned for a couple years until I bought another PS3 that I fell in love with. :)
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:02PM Manifest37 said
@Prboi
Please remove Epic Mickey & Mario Sports Mix from your list. I'll allow some of the okay titles but those two are a no, no.
Reply
Please remove Epic Mickey & Mario Sports Mix from your list. I'll allow some of the okay titles but those two are a no, no.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:08PM MatthewBlackwell said
@jblank - Why are you so upvoted right now? Beyond the fact that what you're saying is a played-out trope by now, the idea that "shovelware dilutes the good content" is specious at best. Do bad movies being released dilute the good movies that come out? No? That's right, they don't. And that idea about "shovelware" is only an idea that gets propagated on ludicrous gaming forum places.
Beyond the fact that there are PLENTY of Wii games that can keep you occupied, you can play VC games too! Come on now!
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Beyond the fact that there are PLENTY of Wii games that can keep you occupied, you can play VC games too! Come on now!
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:49PM The Only Girl said
@AngryTurds
Hypocrite? Uh...wtf? It's not like everybody has money to buy multiple consoles at once. It has nothing to do with opinion. At least it didn't for me when I finally bought a PS2 back in December.
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Hypocrite? Uh...wtf? It's not like everybody has money to buy multiple consoles at once. It has nothing to do with opinion. At least it didn't for me when I finally bought a PS2 back in December.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 11:38PM ComicShaman said
@Prboi said: "Consoles at launch are always a drag"
Mmm... not quite my experience. I'm especially happy with my good old launch PS3 and its backwards compatibility. Never have regretted the investment, myself.
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Mmm... not quite my experience. I'm especially happy with my good old launch PS3 and its backwards compatibility. Never have regretted the investment, myself.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:22PM Voltron said
I think the PS3 is due for a cut not sure about 360 though...
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:30PM eat it said
@Voltron
I would think the opposite, I mean they're essentially the same but at least the PS3 can say it's a blu-ray player. surely that's worth $50 more? I guess you get 250 gigs in an xbox as opposed to 160.
$200 is the point I think I'm holding out for until I get a 360 maybe fall 2012
Reply
I would think the opposite, I mean they're essentially the same but at least the PS3 can say it's a blu-ray player. surely that's worth $50 more? I guess you get 250 gigs in an xbox as opposed to 160.
$200 is the point I think I'm holding out for until I get a 360 maybe fall 2012
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:24PM Heffer Wolfe said
@(Unverified)
Pachter?
...
Is that you?
Pachter?
...
Is that you?
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:26PM Magnalon said
This just in: Pachter predicts a price cut sometime in 2011 or 2012 for some system at some point.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:33PM oOWallaceOo said
@Magnalon
... But not the PSP GO which will actually increase in price
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... But not the PSP GO which will actually increase in price
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:26PM jblank said
Price cuts are LONG overdue in my opinion. For the PS3 and 360 to be entering their 5th and 6th years respectively in 2011, for them to cost what they still cost is absurd. The PS3 120GB should be $199 and the 250GB 360 with Kinect should be $199 or $229 TOPS.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:48PM PointlessPuppies said
@jblank Well, they're bundling consoles with games/peripherals now as a way of keeping the price up. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't recall bundles being this numerous. There's a new bundle with nearly every release that's close to "major" at this point.
Reply
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 9:58PM eat it said
@PointlessPuppies
true but at the same time the 250gb xbox and 160gb PS3 are $300 without any games or extras. There are still someplaces where you can get bundles but those games are normally a few months old and might only save 20 bucks. or if they are new they raise the price of the bundle to $400
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true but at the same time the 250gb xbox and 160gb PS3 are $300 without any games or extras. There are still someplaces where you can get bundles but those games are normally a few months old and might only save 20 bucks. or if they are new they raise the price of the bundle to $400
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:13PM arkweld said
@eat it
The funny thing about the PS3 is that it's the only console that's received price cuts and FEATURE cuts.
The 360 gets cheaper and adds storage.
The PS3 gets cheaper by adding storage and taking things away.
I can't recall any other time where a console launch unit had better specs than the later units.
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The funny thing about the PS3 is that it's the only console that's received price cuts and FEATURE cuts.
The 360 gets cheaper and adds storage.
The PS3 gets cheaper by adding storage and taking things away.
I can't recall any other time where a console launch unit had better specs than the later units.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:37PM Prboi said
@jblank
250 GB 360 will never be below 200 bucks. With Kinect, it will be most likely be $300 & the regular 250 GB would be $250. They'll most likey add another version like a 120 GB for $200 & then mark down the 4GB one to $150. I think that would be best for MS. Sony always cuts the prices but then adds another layer to their lineup. So each price would just stay the same essentially.
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250 GB 360 will never be below 200 bucks. With Kinect, it will be most likely be $300 & the regular 250 GB would be $250. They'll most likey add another version like a 120 GB for $200 & then mark down the 4GB one to $150. I think that would be best for MS. Sony always cuts the prices but then adds another layer to their lineup. So each price would just stay the same essentially.
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:44PM eat it said
@arkweld
You know in hindsight, I kind of like that they did that. I got the console I wanted and some people got the console that they wanted. I was able to catch up on some ps2 games like SotC and god of war 2 upscaled in widescreen. If they did it again for the ps4 I'd probably get one early on.
I think something needs to be said for all of the other features like netflix, hulu, vudu, mlb, nhl, last fm.... I think a lot of us take that for granted. I know these consoles are still pricey compared to previous 6 year old consoles but they have also replaced other devices. I don't have cable anymore because I can stream so many shows and movies and sports through them. I don't even own a dvd player or bluray player
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You know in hindsight, I kind of like that they did that. I got the console I wanted and some people got the console that they wanted. I was able to catch up on some ps2 games like SotC and god of war 2 upscaled in widescreen. If they did it again for the ps4 I'd probably get one early on.
I think something needs to be said for all of the other features like netflix, hulu, vudu, mlb, nhl, last fm.... I think a lot of us take that for granted. I know these consoles are still pricey compared to previous 6 year old consoles but they have also replaced other devices. I don't have cable anymore because I can stream so many shows and movies and sports through them. I don't even own a dvd player or bluray player
Posted: Mar 7th 2011 10:58PM sonicspike41 said
@arkweld
Outside of PS2 backwards compatibility I don't think any of the other cut pieces were really that important. They removed 2 USB slots and got rid of the memory card slots right? Is there anything else they cut (besides BC, of course)?
Now consider it launched at $600 and, outside of playing PS2 games, you're kind of getting more now at a cheaper price than you were then. Even if you buy all the components separately (a PS3, a PS2, a USB hub, etc.) you'd probably still spend less now than for a launch console and you'd end up getting more (bigger HDD, etc.).
Reply
Outside of PS2 backwards compatibility I don't think any of the other cut pieces were really that important. They removed 2 USB slots and got rid of the memory card slots right? Is there anything else they cut (besides BC, of course)?
Now consider it launched at $600 and, outside of playing PS2 games, you're kind of getting more now at a cheaper price than you were then. Even if you buy all the components separately (a PS3, a PS2, a USB hub, etc.) you'd probably still spend less now than for a launch console and you'd end up getting more (bigger HDD, etc.).
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